ai-written commits — tracked daily since 2025

THE AI CODE INDEX

Which AI coding tool is actually winning? Daily commit volume, market share, and doubling time across 7 tools on all public GitHub repos.

commits yesterday: 1.2M7 tools tracked · 5 measurableleader: claude code 97%fastest doubler: claude code · 24d

§ 1 — total daily commit volume, all tools

fig. 01

112M commits · last 6 months · ▲ 416% vs prior span

latest complete day — sep 26 · 1.2M

500k1.0Mmar 29 — 368k commitsmar 30 — 390k commitsmar 31 — 384k commitsapr 1 — 378k commitsapr 2 — 377k commitsapr 3 — 371k commitsapr 4 — 363k commitsapr 5 — 371k commitsapr 6 — 402k commitsapr 7 — 413k commitsapr 8 — 406k commitsapr 9 — 412k commitsapr 10 — 402k commitsapr 11 — 365k commitsapr 12 — 396k commitsapr 13 — 421k commitsapr 14 — 424k commitsapr 15 — 401k commitsapr 16 — 425k commitsapr 17 — 426k commitsapr 18 — 376k commitsapr 19 — 395k commitsapr 20 — 352k commitsapr 21 — 360k commitsapr 22 — 389k commitsapr 23 — 383k commitsapr 24 — 407k commitsapr 25 — 371k commitsapr 26 — 382k commitsapr 27 — 412k commitsapr 28 — 405k commitsapr 29 — 404k commitsapr 30 — 378k commitsmay 1 — 361k commitsmay 2 — 362k commitsmay 3 — 379k commitsmay 4 — 433k commitsmay 5 — 429k commitsmay 6 — 465k commitsmay 7 — 497k commitsmay 8 — 472k commitsmay 9 — 419k commitsmay 10 — 419k commitsmay 11 — 503k commitsmay 12 — 519k commitsmay 13 — 510k commitsmay 14 — 527k commitsmay 15 — 511k commitsmay 16 — 449k commitsmay 17 — 487k commitsmay 18 — 567k commitsmay 19 — 576k commitsmay 20 — 562k commitsmay 21 — 550k commitsmay 22 — 523k commitsmay 23 — 450k commitsmay 24 — 461k commitsmay 25 — 526k commitsmay 26 — 562k commitsmay 27 — 578k commitsmay 28 — 493k commitsmay 29 — 518k commitsmay 30 — 351k commitsmay 31 — 290k commitsjun 1 — 534k commitsjun 2 — 510k commitsjun 3 — 430k commitsjun 4 — 489k commitsjun 5 — 548k commitsjun 6 — 474k commitsjun 7 — 369k commitsjun 8 — 470k commitsjun 9 — 630k commitsjun 10 — 753k commitsjun 11 — 699k commitsjun 12 — 706k commitsjun 13 — 588k commitsjun 14 — 584k commitsjun 15 — 650k commitsjun 16 — 634k commitsjun 17 — 674k commitsjun 18 — 661k commitsjun 19 — 632k commitsjun 20 — 578k commitsjun 21 — 575k commitsjun 22 — 643k commitsjun 23 — 651k commitsjun 24 — 668k commitsjun 25 — 647k commitsjun 26 — 613k commitsjun 27 — 525k commitsjun 28 — 534k commitsjun 29 — 618k commitsjun 30 — 632k commitsjul 1 — 637k commitsjul 2 — 765k commitsjul 3 — 742k commitsjul 4 — 641k commitsjul 5 — 622k commitsjul 6 — 668k commitsjul 7 — 718k commitsjul 8 — 689k commitsjul 9 — 676k commitsjul 10 — 792k commitsjul 11 — 650k commitsjul 12 — 645k commitsjul 13 — 685k commitsjul 14 — 673k commitsjul 15 — 636k commitsjul 16 — 668k commitsjul 17 — 699k commitsjul 18 — 603k commitsjul 19 — 614k commitsjul 20 — 679k commitsjul 21 — 709k commitsjul 22 — 701k commitsjul 23 — 678k commitsjul 24 — 652k commitsjul 25 — 608k commitsjul 26 — 626k commitsjul 27 — 665k commitsjul 28 — 728k commitsjul 29 — 688k commitsjul 30 — 710k commitsjul 31 — 677k commitsaug 1 — 558k commitsaug 2 — 592k commitsaug 3 — 680k commitsaug 4 — 709k commitsaug 5 — 711k commitsaug 6 — 699k commitsaug 7 — 690k commitsaug 8 — 598k commitsaug 9 — 606k commitsaug 10 — 691k commitsaug 11 — 704k commitsaug 12 — 691k commitsaug 13 — 702k commitsaug 14 — 665k commitsaug 15 — 587k commitsaug 16 — 594k commitsaug 17 — 680k commitsaug 18 — 720k commitsaug 19 — 772k commitsaug 20 — 695k commitsaug 21 — 706k commitsaug 22 — 616k commitsaug 23 — 617k commitsaug 24 — 634k commitsaug 25 — 660k commitsaug 26 — 528k commitsaug 27 — 502k commitsaug 28 — 559k commitsaug 29 — 623k commitsaug 30 — 633k commitsaug 31 — 732k commitssep 1 — 678k commitssep 2 — 897k commitssep 3 — 982k commitssep 4 — 971k commitssep 5 — 879k commitssep 6 — 872k commitssep 7 — 955k commitssep 8 — 914k commitssep 9 — 970k commitssep 10 — 962k commitssep 11 — 943k commitssep 12 — 827k commitssep 13 — 835k commitssep 14 — 966k commitssep 15 — 977k commitssep 16 — 965k commitssep 17 — 974k commitssep 18 — 927k commitssep 19 — 831k commitssep 20 — 826k commitssep 21 — 994k commitssep 22 — 1.0M commitssep 23 — 1.2M commitssep 24 — 1.3M commitssep 25 — 1.3M commitssep 26 — 1.2M commits1.2Mmar 29apr 20may 12jun 3jun 25jul 17aug 8aug 30sep 26

§ 2 — market share of ai-written commits

fig. 02

97%
claude code 96.6%cursor 3.0%codex 0.3%aider <0.1%gemini cli <0.1%

§ 3 — the race for #2

fig. 03

cursor

36.5k/day · ▼ 22%

codex

3.6k/day · ▲ 35%

aider

128/day · ▼ 16%

gemini cli

41/day · ▼ 57%

claude code owns the index, so it's out of this grid — one shared scale for everyone else.

§ 4 — momentum, ranked

fig. 04

  • 01claude codefastest

    ▲ 128% · 1.2M/day · 24d to double · 96.6%

  • 02codex

    ▲ 35% · 3.6k/day · 68d to double · 0.3%

  • 03aider

    ▼ 16% · 128/day · — · 0.0%

  • 04cursor

    ▼ 22% · 36.5k/day · — · 3.0%

  • 05gemini cli

    ▼ 57% · 41/day · — · 0.0%

§ 5 — the pr arena

fig. 05

fig. 05 — autonomous agent prs, all time

01devin2.1k
02github copilot1.6k
03coderabbit42

github copilot and devin don’t sign their commits, so they score zero in the charts above. zero there isn’t absence — it’s invisibility. this is their arena.

§ 6 — the open model layer

fig. 06

models — release snapshots (big stars, low velocity)

runtime — where open-model energy lives

the tools above run on these. open models don’t sign their commits, so this layer is repo traction — not usage share. anything else would be made up.

§ 7 — ecosystem adoption

fig. 07

config files in repos

agents.md616k
claude code525k
github copilot150k
cursor51.4k
windsurf4.4k
aider926

sdk / package adoption

openai869k
langchain289k
anthropic219k

note: agents.md (an open format) beats every vendor-specific config file.

§ 8 — community pulse

fig. 08

fig. 08 — community pulse, 7 days

toolmentionshnredditgithub
claude code591720519
github copilot26170254
codex17800178
cursor360036
gemini cli310031
aider6006
windsurf4004

§ 9 — intelligence brief

fig. 09

$ tail -f /var/log/gitfind/index.log

09:41:02 index sync completed — 1.2M commits counted across 5 of 7 tools

09:41:03 claude code leads the index at 96.6% of ai-written commits

09:41:04 claude code added 651k/day this month — biggest absolute gain

09:41:05 claude code is the fastest doubler — every 24 days at current pace

09:41:06 devin leads the pr arena with 2.1k agent prs — without signing a single commit

09:41:07 gemini cli down 57% this month — watching for a floor

09:41:08 █

form 27-b — subscription

THE TUESDAY BRIEFING

The repos that moved this week, why they matter, and what to watch next. One email. No noise.