open-weight adoption — tracked daily
THE OPEN MODEL INDEX
Which open-weight models are developers actually building with? Hugging Face weight downloads and GitHub velocity for DeepSeek, Llama, Qwen, Kimi, Mistral, and GLM — plus the runtime layer that runs them. Every number says what it is; nothing here is made up.
§ 1 — weight downloads, daily
fig. 01
hugging face trailing 30-day weight downloads per day, across all tracked models.
§ 2 — share of new downloads
fig. 02
share of the trailing 30-day window.
§ 3 — each model, same scale
fig. 03
kimi k3
1.6M/30d · ▼ 38%
deepseek v3
1.3M/30d · ▲ 27%
llama 3.3 70b
905k/30d · ▲ 215%
deepseek r1
895k/30d · ▼ 73%
mistral small 3.1
507k/30d · ▲ 269%
kimi k2
270k/30d · ▲ 69%
qwen3 235b
182k/30d · ▲ 363%
glm 4.5
106k/30d · ▲ 9%
trailing 30-day weight downloads per day, averaged over 3-day buckets · all charts share one scale.
§ 4 — momentum, ranked
fig. 04
| no. | model | downloads (30d) | Δ vs 30d ago | momentum | doubles every | share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | qwen3 235bfastest | 182k | +143k | ▲ 363% | 31 days | 3.1% |
| 02 | mistral small 3.1 | 507k | +370k | ▲ 269% | 39 days | 8.7% |
| 03 | llama 3.3 70b | 905k | +618k | ▲ 215% | 46 days | 15.6% |
| 04 | kimi k2 | 270k | +111k | ▲ 69% | 93 days | 4.6% |
| 05 | deepseek v3 | 1.3M | +278k | ▲ 27% | 196 days | 22.4% |
| 06 | glm 4.5 | 106k | +9.2k | ▲ 9% | 546 days | 1.8% |
| 07 | kimi k3 | 1.6M | −1.0M | ▼ 38% | — | 28.3% |
| 08 | deepseek r1 | 895k | −2.4M | ▼ 73% | — | 15.4% |
01qwen3 235bfastest
182k/30d · ▲ 363% · 31d to double · 3.1%
02mistral small 3.1
507k/30d · ▲ 269% · 39d to double · 8.7%
03llama 3.3 70b
905k/30d · ▲ 215% · 46d to double · 15.6%
04kimi k2
270k/30d · ▲ 69% · 93d to double · 4.6%
05deepseek v3
1.3M/30d · ▲ 27% · 196d to double · 22.4%
06glm 4.5
106k/30d · ▲ 9% · 546d to double · 1.8%
07kimi k3
1.6M/30d · ▼ 38% · — · 28.3%
08deepseek r1
895k/30d · ▼ 73% · — · 15.4%
§ 5 — the runtime layer
fig. 05
fig. 05 — the runtime layer (what people run open models with)
| tool | stars | forks | contributors |
|---|---|---|---|
| ollama | 182k | 18.0k | 596 |
| llama.cpp | 130k | 23.8k | 2.0k |
| vllm | 92.8k | 22.7k | 2.4k |
runtimes don’t publish weight downloads — repo traction is the honest proxy here.
§ 6 — intelligence brief
fig. 06
$ tail -f /var/log/gitfind/models.log
09:41:02 8 open models + 3 runtimes tracked — hf trailing-30d downloads + github velocity, nothing fabricated
09:41:03 kimi k3 leads the 30-day window at 1.6M
09:41:04 llama 3.3 70b gained the most rate this month — +618k on the 30d window
09:41:05 qwen3 235b is the fastest riser — doubling every 31 days at current pace
09:41:06 ollama leads the runtime layer at 182k★
09:41:07 router share coming when there’s a stable public source — we don’t scrape
09:41:08 █
form 27-b — subscription
THE TUESDAY BRIEFING
The repos that moved this week, why they matter, and what to watch next. One email. No noise.