open-weight adoption — tracked daily
THE OPEN MODEL INDEX
Which open-weight models are developers actually building with? Hugging Face weight downloads and GitHub velocity for DeepSeek, Llama, Qwen, Kimi, Mistral, and GLM — plus the runtime layer that runs them. Every number says what it is; nothing here is made up.
§ 1 — weight downloads, daily
fig. 01
hugging face trailing 30-day weight downloads per day, across all tracked models.
§ 2 — share of new downloads
fig. 02
share of the trailing 30-day window.
§ 3 — each model, same scale
fig. 03
kimi k3
2.5M/30d · ▲ 88%
deepseek v3
1.0M/30d · ▲ 4%
llama 3.3 70b
835k/30d · ▲ 112%
deepseek r1
790k/30d · ▼ 92%
mistral small 3.1
167k/30d · ▼ 43%
kimi k2
161k/30d · ▼ 10%
qwen3 235b
129k/30d · ▲ 131%
glm 4.5
80.9k/30d · ▼ 34%
trailing 30-day weight downloads per day, averaged over 3-day buckets · all charts share one scale.
§ 4 — momentum, ranked
fig. 04
| no. | model | downloads (30d) | Δ vs 30d ago | momentum | doubles every | share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | qwen3 235bfastest | 129k | +73.2k | ▲ 131% | 40 days | 2.3% |
| 02 | llama 3.3 70b | 835k | +440k | ▲ 112% | 51 days | 14.7% |
| 03 | kimi k3 | 2.5M | +1.2M | ▲ 88% | 45 days | 43.4% |
| 04 | deepseek v3 | 1.0M | +42.7k | ▲ 4% | 779 days | 18.4% |
| 05 | kimi k2 | 161k | −18.6k | ▼ 10% | — | 2.8% |
| 06 | glm 4.5 | 80.9k | −41.5k | ▼ 34% | — | 1.4% |
| 07 | mistral small 3.1 | 167k | −125k | ▼ 43% | — | 2.9% |
| 08 | deepseek r1 | 790k | −8.6M | ▼ 92% | — | 13.9% |
01qwen3 235bfastest
129k/30d · ▲ 131% · 40d to double · 2.3%
02llama 3.3 70b
835k/30d · ▲ 112% · 51d to double · 14.7%
03kimi k3
2.5M/30d · ▲ 88% · 45d to double · 43.4%
04deepseek v3
1.0M/30d · ▲ 4% · 779d to double · 18.4%
05kimi k2
161k/30d · ▼ 10% · — · 2.8%
06glm 4.5
80.9k/30d · ▼ 34% · — · 1.4%
07mistral small 3.1
167k/30d · ▼ 43% · — · 2.9%
08deepseek r1
790k/30d · ▼ 92% · — · 13.9%
§ 5 — the runtime layer
fig. 05
fig. 05 — the runtime layer (what people run open models with)
| tool | stars | forks | contributors |
|---|---|---|---|
| ollama | 180k | 17.7k | 596 |
| llama.cpp | 127k | 22.8k | 2.0k |
| vllm | 91.1k | 21.8k | 2.4k |
runtimes don’t publish weight downloads — repo traction is the honest proxy here.
§ 6 — intelligence brief
fig. 06
$ tail -f /var/log/gitfind/models.log
09:41:02 8 open models + 3 runtimes tracked — hf trailing-30d downloads + github velocity, nothing fabricated
09:41:03 kimi k3 leads the 30-day window at 2.5M
09:41:04 kimi k3 gained the most rate this month — +1.2M on the 30d window
09:41:05 qwen3 235b is the fastest riser — doubling every 40 days at current pace
09:41:06 ollama leads the runtime layer at 180k★
09:41:07 router share coming when there’s a stable public source — we don’t scrape
09:41:08 █
form 27-b — subscription
THE TUESDAY BRIEFING
The repos that moved this week, why they matter, and what to watch next. One email. No noise.