open-weight adoption — tracked daily
THE OPEN MODEL INDEX
Which open-weight models are developers actually building with? Hugging Face weight downloads and GitHub velocity for DeepSeek, Llama, Qwen, Kimi, Mistral, and GLM — plus the runtime layer that runs them. Every number says what it is; nothing here is made up.
§ 1 — weight downloads, daily
fig. 01
hugging face trailing 30-day weight downloads per day, across all tracked models.
§ 2 — share of new downloads
fig. 02
share of the trailing 30-day window.
§ 3 — each model, same scale
fig. 03
deepseek r1
8.5M/30d · ▲ 71%
kimi k3
1.6M/30d · ▲ 54829%
deepseek v3
1.1M/30d · ▲ 92%
llama 3.3 70b
335k/30d · ▼ 46%
mistral small 3.1
275k/30d · ▼ 40%
kimi k2
150k/30d · ▼ 81%
glm 4.5
118k/30d · ▲ 1%
qwen3 235b
42.1k/30d · ▼ 73%
trailing 30-day weight downloads per day, averaged over 3-day buckets · all charts share one scale.
§ 4 — momentum, ranked
fig. 04
| no. | model | downloads (30d) | Δ vs 30d ago | momentum | doubles every | share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | kimi k3fastest | 1.6M | +1.6M | ▲ 54829% | 2 days | 12.9% |
| 02 | deepseek v3 | 1.1M | +532k | ▲ 92% | 22 days | 9.2% |
| 03 | deepseek r1 | 8.5M | +3.5M | ▲ 71% | 46 days | 70.3% |
| 04 | glm 4.5 | 118k | +726 | ▲ 1% | 2687 days | 1.0% |
| 05 | mistral small 3.1 | 275k | −187k | ▼ 40% | — | 2.3% |
| 06 | llama 3.3 70b | 335k | −286k | ▼ 46% | — | 2.8% |
| 07 | qwen3 235b | 42.1k | −112k | ▼ 73% | — | 0.3% |
| 08 | kimi k2 | 150k | −644k | ▼ 81% | — | 1.2% |
01kimi k3fastest
1.6M/30d · ▲ 54829% · 2d to double · 12.9%
02deepseek v3
1.1M/30d · ▲ 92% · 22d to double · 9.2%
03deepseek r1
8.5M/30d · ▲ 71% · 46d to double · 70.3%
04glm 4.5
118k/30d · ▲ 1% · 2687d to double · 1.0%
05mistral small 3.1
275k/30d · ▼ 40% · — · 2.3%
06llama 3.3 70b
335k/30d · ▼ 46% · — · 2.8%
07qwen3 235b
42.1k/30d · ▼ 73% · — · 0.3%
08kimi k2
150k/30d · ▼ 81% · — · 1.2%
§ 5 — the runtime layer
fig. 05
fig. 05 — the runtime layer (what people run open models with)
| tool | stars | forks | contributors |
|---|---|---|---|
| ollama | 178k | 17.4k | 596 |
| llama.cpp | 124k | 21.6k | 1.9k |
| vllm | 88.8k | 20.6k | 2.4k |
runtimes don’t publish weight downloads — repo traction is the honest proxy here.
§ 6 — intelligence brief
fig. 06
$ tail -f /var/log/gitfind/models.log
09:41:02 8 open models + 3 runtimes tracked — hf trailing-30d downloads + github velocity, nothing fabricated
09:41:03 deepseek r1 leads the 30-day window at 8.5M
09:41:04 deepseek r1 gained the most rate this month — +3.5M on the 30d window
09:41:05 kimi k3 is the fastest riser — doubling every 2 days at current pace
09:41:06 ollama leads the runtime layer at 178k★
09:41:07 router share coming when there’s a stable public source — we don’t scrape
09:41:08 █
form 27-b — subscription
THE TUESDAY BRIEFING
The repos that moved this week, why they matter, and what to watch next. One email. No noise.